DeFi Needs Fewer Hot Takes and Better Market Questions
DeFi has plenty of conviction and not enough testable questions. Prediction markets can turn louder opinions into clearer, accountable forecasts.
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DeFi Oracles: Read the Data Feed First
A DeFi prediction market is only as clear as its data feed. Learn how to inspect the oracle, cutoff, and resolution rule before choosing an outcome.
DeFi Governance Is Already a Prediction Market
DeFi governance turns protocol changes into public forecasts. The edge comes from reading the proposal timeline before reading the vote.
DeFi Prediction Markets: Read the Protocol, Not the Hype
DeFi markets reward careful questions. This guide shows how to assess collateral, oracles, liquidity, and the Maybe outcome without mistaking activity for certainty.
The myth of volume in prediction markets: where liquidity really is
Volume is not liquidity. A practical guide to reading depth, spread, and execution risk in prediction markets — and where a third outcome changes the playbook.
How Oddup markets resolve — sources, disputes, and why the Maybe leg simplifies settlement
A plain-English walkthrough of how Oddup markets settle — data sources, dispute handling, and why the Maybe leg cuts resolution edge cases.
How to price a Bitcoin August close market — a three-outcome walkthrough
Bitcoin sits at $64,364 on 29 July. Here's how to price a three-outcome market on the August close, using real Polymarket, Kalshi, and CoinGecko data.
The Fed will hold on Wednesday. September is where the money is.
The FOMC meets 29 July. Prediction markets price a hold near 96%. September's hike odds moved from 12% to 82% in ten days. Here's the setup.
The stablecoin market just shrank by $14 billion. Here's what that means for August's prediction markets
Stablecoin supply fell $14B in 60 days — the first quarterly contraction since 2022. What the Maybe outcome pricing tells us about August's markets.
What Is the Maybe Outcome? Oddup's Three-Outcome Prediction Market Explained
The Maybe outcome is a third resolution state in a prediction market — it wins when the result is partial, ambiguous, or outside the binary range. Here is how it works on Oddup, including the 10% pool reserve and decision framework.
New Category: Sports — Back Your Predictions Where It Matters
Sports prediction markets are live on Oddup. Predict championships, players, transfers, and tournament outcomes with three-way Yes / No / Maybe markets.
The Oddup Graduate Program 2026: a paid 6-month cohort across four cities
Six months. Four cities. Real work, real teammates, real shipped projects. Cohort opens in San Francisco, October 2026. Apply with a build and a 90-second video.
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