Oddup Markets Blog

Market insights, product updates, and prediction market analysis

Latest Articles

Box Office Markets: The Sunday Estimate Is Not Settlement

Sunday box-office estimates are not final settlement data. Learn how to define the window, source, territory, and Maybe outcome before trading.

Crypto Predictions

Ethereum Prediction Markets: Volatility Is Not Direction

ETH can move sharply without choosing a side. Read the oracle, time window, threshold, and Maybe outcome before reading the chart.

Three-Outcome Betting

Maybe Is Not a Tie: Read the Third Outcome

Maybe is not a tie or a softer Yes. It is a defined third outcome that changes how traders read probability, liquidity, and settlement.

Market Intelligence

The September Fed Market Has a Maybe Problem

July CPI cooled, but the September Fed market still carries a live hike risk. Here is how to read that range with a three-outcome lens.

Three-Outcome Betting

The Volatility Trap in Maybe Pricing

A defined middle band is a volatility trade first; a live Bitcoin range shows why a point estimate can misprice Maybe.

Crypto Predictions

Crypto Prediction Markets: Read the Rule Before the Price

Crypto prediction markets turn a moving asset into a fixed question. Learn how to read the price, oracle, clock and settlement rule before choosing an outcome.

Prediction Markets 101

How to Read Prediction Market Prices

A price is a market signal, not a guarantee. Learn to read bid-ask spreads, settlement clocks and the Maybe outcome with a live Kalshi example.

Sports & Entertainment

NFL Opener Markets Miss the Maybe

NFL opener Maybe mispricing starts at the margin: overtime, pick’em quotes and tie settlement can distort a simple two-way read.

Market Intelligence

FOMC Three-Way: Why the Price Gap Is Not Arbitrage

September FOMC prices can exceed 100¢ across contracts. Here is how to read Kalshi, Polymarket, and CME FedWatch without mistaking spreads for arbitrage.